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Bitcoin Market Speculation Hinges on Unlikely Presidential Initiative

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Bitcoin market speculation hangs in the balance as cryptocurrency investor Arthur Hayes expresses doubts about Donald Trump’s plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

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Crypto Investor Arthur Hayes Raises Doubts on Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Plans

Arthur Hayes, the chief investment officer of cryptocurrency venture capital firm Maelstrom, has expressed skepticism about Donald Trump’s government creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This policy has been eagerly anticipated by many in the crypto community.

Hayes, a co-founder and former CEO of BitMex, believes that Trump will not prioritize a BTC reserve due to various reasons. Firstly, he points out that there is a limited time frame before the midterm elections, which could restrict the ability to implement substantial policy changes.

Why Hayes Thinks a Bitcoin Reserve Is Unlikely

Hayes also mentioned that there are many other pressing issues that require allocation of time and money, such as healthcare for seniors or defense spending. He questioned whether Trump’s administration would choose to spend borrowed money on bitcoin when there are more pressing needs.

“I don’t think Trump will get around to doing a bitcoin reserve,” Hayes said. “At the end of the day, I don’t know how borrowing money to buy bitcoin helps on any of Trump’s platforms.”

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Hayes’ Contrarian Approach to Investing

Hayes is known for his contrarian approach to investing, which involves taking calculated risks and being open to unconventional ideas. His new fund, Maelstrom, focuses on investing in undervalued crypto projects, often referred to as “shitcoins.” Hayes acknowledges that most of these investments will likely fail but believes that some may yield significant returns.

“We love undervalued shits,” Hayes said, emphasizing his fund’s focus on speculation rather than traditional investment strategies. “Let’s not kid ourselves, it’s raw speculation. Most of these things will be zeros.”

Maelstrom’s Investment Thesis

Maelstrom has seen success in investing in projects like Ethena Labs, a stablecoin project. The firm typically invests between $50,000 to $100,000 at the seed stage and acquires tokens rather than equity.

Hayes’ insights into macro-economics are grounded in his pessimism about how governments erode the wealth of everyday people. His approach to investing is characterized by impish irreverence and a willingness to challenge conventional wisdom.

“I hope I’m wrong” regarding the implementation of a BTC reserve, Hayes said, but his doubts on Trump’s plans for a Bitcoin reserve are clear.

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