A new method developed by researcher Justin Mankin can establish a direct link between greenhouse gas emissions from individual firms and specific climate-related economic losses, holding polluters accountable for their actions.
The question of whether climate science can attribute economic damage to major polluters has long been a topic of debate. Recent research suggests that the answer is unequivocally yes, with scientists developing a new method to tie greenhouse gas emissions from individual firms to specific climate-related economic harm.
Climate change refers to the long-term warming of the planet, primarily caused by human activities that release greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide and methane.
The burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and land-use changes contribute to this phenomenon.
Rising temperatures lead to more frequent natural disasters, sea-level rise, and altered ecosystems.
According to NASA, the past four years have been the hottest on record globally.
The 'Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change' (IPCC) warns that urgent action is necessary to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
Direct Link Between Emissions and Damages
Justin Mankin, a researcher at Dartmouth College, believes that his technique can establish a direct link between the emissions of fossil fuel companies and the damages caused by extreme weather events. ‘I think the answer is unequivocally, yes,’ he says. This approach has significant implications for holding polluters accountable for their actions.
How It Works
Mankin’s method uses advanced statistical models to analyze the relationship between greenhouse gas emissions from individual firms and specific climate-related economic losses. By examining the emissions patterns of the world’s five largest fossil fuel companies, researchers can identify a clear causal link between these emissions and the damages they cause.

Implications for Climate Policy
The development of this new method has significant implications for climate policy. If scientists can establish a direct link between emissions and damages, it could provide a compelling case for holding polluters accountable for their actions. This could lead to increased pressure on companies to reduce their emissions and invest in clean energy technologies.
Climate policy has become a pressing concern for nations worldwide.
The Paris Agreement, signed in 2015, aims to limit global warming to well below 2°C and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
As of 2020, over 180 countries have ratified the agreement, with many setting ambitious targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Key strategies include transitioning to renewable energy sources, increasing energy efficiency, and promoting sustainable land use practices.
Conclusion
Climate science has advanced significantly in recent years, and the question of whether it can attribute economic damage to major polluters is now being answered with a resounding yes. The development of new methods like Mankin’s technique has significant implications for climate policy and could provide a powerful tool for holding polluters accountable for their actions.
Climate science is a multidisciplinary field that studies the Earth's climate system.
It involves understanding atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial processes that influence global temperatures.
Key factors include greenhouse gases, solar radiation, and volcanic eruptions.
Climate models predict temperature increases due to human activities, such as burning fossil fuels.
Rising sea levels, melting ice caps, and extreme weather events are consequences of climate change.
Scientists rely on data from satellites, weather stations, and ice cores to analyze climate patterns.
- newscientist.com | Can climate science attribute economic damage to major polluters?